Game-Day Decision Coordinator

FOURTH-DOWN DECISION

The Call

Set the situation and your team profile on the left. Everything recomputes live. Numbers are an expected-value model — the defaults are league baselines you should tune to your team.

The situation

Level (sets baseline defaults)

Ball is in…

Yard line

4th & (yards to go)

Game phase

Your team profile (this is what makes it yours)

Aggressiveness

Kicker — 50/50 range

The distance your kicker makes about half the time.

Offense — short-yardage strength

Scales your conversion odds vs. the baseline.

Punter — net yards

Recommendation

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You need to convert

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You convert (est.)

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Cushion

—

Every option, valued

Value = net expected points for your team (your points minus the field position you hand the opponent). Highest wins.

Built honestly: every figure is an expected-value calc from stated baselines or the sliders you set — no invented "win %". Defaults are league averages; tune the sliders to your roster and it's tuned to you. Late and close, trust the aggressive end — pure EV slightly undervalues going for the win.

TWO-POINT DECISION

Go for Two?

Enter your score margin after the touchdown (before the try). The chart is the standard coaching reference — your row is highlighted.

After the TD, you are…

…by how many points?

Recommendation

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The chart (down / trailing)

Standard 2-point reference for when you're trailing. When tied or ahead, kick the PAT unless it's late and a 2-point lead is the difference — context overrides the chart inside two minutes.